With the political situation in the US changed dramatically in just past two weeks, it is difficult to predict what may happen in the next hundred days until November 5, when the world’s most powerful country is scheduled to elects its president…

In an interview with ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on July 5, the US President Joseph Biden confidently said: “Only the Lord Almighty can make me quit the race.” Two weeks later, on July 21, in a statement, Biden announces he is withdrawing from the presidential race endorsing his Vice President Kamala Harris as a democratic party candidate for the November presidential election.

The attempted assassination of former president Donald Trump imposed a new dynamic of the election, giving a new dimension to the presidential campaign, and judging by the public opinion ratings, it provided Trump with a new popularity.

As much as Biden has paved the way for his running mate, Kamala Harris, she is not an official presidential candidate yet. After the decision on Biden’s withdrawal, the Democratic Party is expected to officially choose a presidential candidate at the Democratic National Convention to be held in Chicago from August 19 to 22.

MINIMAL CAMPAIGNING TIME

The question arises – is it smart and pragmatic to wait so long and what chance will the future candidate have if he/she only has three months left to prepare and run the campaign?

“Biden may have lost”, a CNN poll published on July 2 – showing that Harris, who was not yet in the presidential race at the time, would receive 45 percent of support, while 47 percent would go to Trump, but “Trump still hasn’t won”.

To address these difficulties, there is a high probability the Democratic Party will organize an online vote prior to Convention – to possibly happen in the next 7 to 10 days, for candidacy to be just ceremoniously confirmed at the Convention later in August. If, however, the Democrats decide to make an official selection next month at the Convention, it would be a very exhausting and complicated process for the party, and in some states even impossible because they closed the possibility of filing new candidates earlier.

WHO STANDS BETTER CHANCES? TRUMP OR HARRIS

Relevant polls showed a few months ago that Trump has an advantage over Biden. After the presidential debate and the assassination attempt, that advantage only increased. However, what chance does Kamala Harris have and can she be a good option for the Democrats?

A CNN poll published on July 2 showed that Harris, not yet in the presidential race at the time, would receive 45 percent of support, while 47 percent would go to Trump. According to another national poll conducted by CBS News, Trump was leading with 52 percent over Biden, carrying 47, while the prediction for the race with Harris was 51 Trump, 48 Harris.

REFERENDUM-LIKE ATMOSPHERE

As the race continues, the Democratic candidate’s campaign has never been shorter, with the Republican “artillery” very sharp and angry on the state of the union, claiming that their candidate is now even more certain to dominate. Trump continued his attacks on Biden: “It’s not over, maybe Biden forgot he gave up on the election,” but he also lashed out at Kamala Harris, the new rival: “It will be even easier to defeat her than the worst president in history of America”.

KAMALA’S COMPETITION

The Democrats, however, are not united behind the proposed candidate, but one can hear: “Strong. Fearless. Persistent. Kamala is the future president”. True or not, the estimates are that most Democrats will support her and vote for her, if not led by the motive “vote for her”, then by “vote against Trump”, if estimated she has the best chance to stand in his way.

The attempted assassination of the former president Donald Trump imposed a new dynamic for the election, giving a new dimension to the presidential campaign, and judging by the public opinion ratings, it handed Trump a new popularity.

Kamala Harris possible challengers for the Democratic nomination is rumored to be Michelle Obama, the former first lady, although she has not publicly shown interest in the candidacy. Back in March she said she will not run, regardless of promising poll numbers and popularity in the public that speculates she could be nominated. Other possible contenders includes: Gretchen Whitmer (52), governor of Michigan, Joe Manchin (76), senator from West Virginia, Josh Shapiro (51), governor of Pennsylvania, as well as Gavin Newsom (57), governor of California, who previously pointed out he will not run against Kamala.

If it was used say: “100 days before the elections, practically everything is over”, now it can be said: “everything has only just begun”. Biden may have lost, but Trump still hasn’t won.

Featured image source: Matt Kelley/AP